With the UFC’s next pay-per-view event just over three months away, it is time to start having a look at the betting odds for the card. Two streaks on the card already have lines released, and they are about as different as could be. In the primary event, T.J. Dillashaw will defend his newly won UFC bantamweight title against the man he took it from, Renan Barao. In their first fight, Barao closed as a massive -910 favorite (wager $910 to acquire $100) over Dillashaw. The Team Alpha Male manhood ruled that first fight, scoring a fifth-round TKO in among the greatest anti upsets in UFC history. This moment, the chances are much nearer, with Dillashaw sitting at -140 and Barao the small underdog in +120 (bet $100 to win $120). There are eight extra bouts on the card that up until now did not have betting lines posted. MMA oddsmaker Nick Kalikas altered that today as he published the complete UFC 177 betting odds at 5Dimes Sportsbook. ————– MAIN CARD (PPV, 10pm ET) UFC Bantamweight Title TJ Dillashaw -140 Renan Barao +100 Tony Ferguson -265 Danny Castillo +185 Bethe Correia -160 Shayna Baszler +120 Carlos Diego Ferreira -280 Ramsey Nijem +200 Yancy Medeiros -135 Damon Jackson -105 ————– PRELIMINARY CARD (Fox Sports 1, 8pm ET) Lorenz Larkin -140 Derek Brunson +100 Henry Cejudo -185 Scott Jorgensen +145 Anthony Hamilton -210 Ruan Potts +160 Joe Soto -125 Anthony Birchak -115 ————– PRELIMINARY CARD (UFC Fight Night, 7:30pm ET) Chris Wade -140 Cain Carrizosa +100 ————– Brad’s Analysis: I actually desire Bethe Correia to win this fight, just so that I do not have to listen to anything about the absurd”Four Horsewomen” ever again. Nevertheless, Correia has never confronted anyone of Baszler’s skill level, particularly when it comes to grappling. I think Baszler can wade through Correia’s drag and striking this fight to the floor where she will have a distinct edge. The greatest worry for me is about Baszler’s long layoff and injury woes of late, which is more than enough to keep me from gambling her. Tony Ferguson appears like a nightmare matchup for Danny Castillo. Castillo has been labeled on the feet several times before, and unlike his charms against Tim Means or Anthony Njokuani, he will not have the ability to fall back on his wrestling if the striking doesn’t go to plan. This should be quite competitive in most regions, but Ferguson has minor edges which should propel him to victory. Lorenz Larkin is only 27, but the decrease in his performances of late makes him look like a 37-year-old. He seemed completely listless against Brad Tavares for 10 minutes, and was immediately dispatched by Costas Philippou. On the other hand, Derek Brunson supplied the toughest test of Yoel Romero’s career in his most recent bout. It feels like Larkin was really overvalued as a potential while in Strikeforce, while Brunson was overlooked. This is a very difficult bout to call regarding a negative or a complete, so I will probably stay out entirely. On the other hand, I believe Ramsey Nijem is in for a rough night against Carlos Diego Ferreira. Nijem may have a wrestling edge here, but even that’s questionable. Ferreira is the far greater entry grappler, and probably even the greater striker at this point (though Nijem’s advancement in that regard last time outside was fine to see). I expect Ferreira to get the win, and likely put another finish on his resume from his submission skills or Nijem’s questionable chin. Henry Cejudo always made for fascinating bouts even when he had been facing completely overmatched contest, so he’s up against a legitimate evaluation in Scott Jorgensen, I have to admit this is one of my most anticipated bouts on the card. The physical benefits here belong to Cejudo, as does the wrestling advantage, naturally. He might not have the well-rounded skill set to prevent Jorgensen, but I believe he wins rounds using takedowns and scrambling. Cejudo passed one of the important tests for prospects in his last outing as well, becoming broken square on the jaw and shaking it off to win not only the combat, but round as well. The major question with Cejudo, as always, is: how focused is he? Perhaps being signed by the UFC was that the impetus he had to start taking the game seriously, as in his past appearances (and non-appearances) with Legacy FC, it’s quite obvious he has been coasting at times. Against Jorgensen that he may not have the ability to eliminate a half effort, and when he does it’ll make him much more special. A Legacy veteran making his UFC debut with less fanfare is 39-year-old Richard Odoms. His sole loss came into UFC heavyweight Jared Rosholt, but he’s generally been able to restrain and outhustle competitions to pick up choices. That will be difficult against Ruslan Magomedov, who really possesses decent cardio to get a heavyweight, to go together with his solid striking. Coming off of nearly a year layoff, it is difficult to expect much from Odoms, so that I expect Magomedov to pick up the win, but he is someone I completely expect to fade when he can get a couple more wins and face adequate competition. The hype on Yancy Medeiros came a bit too quickly, and should almost be snuffed out at this point. His striking defense appeared atrocious against the two Yves Edwards and Jim Miller, and his submission match was practically non-existent since he was exploited within minutes of hitting the floor against Miller. Perhaps that could work to the benefit of his backers against Justin Edwards nevertheless, as Edwards isn’t UFC caliber, even at this time. Edwards has a good guillotine, and not many other skills, therefore Medeiros has this fight to win as long as he does not dive into that weapon. Edwards will likely come out quickly, because he should know that a win will mark the conclusion of the UFC employ. Speaking of pink-slip derbies, the loser of Ruan Potts and Anthony Hamilton will likely be shown the door too, because both place on putrid dislpays within their UFC debuts. Potts is an aggressive — but not overly talented — grappler, although Hamilton showed enormous holes in his own grappling against Alexey Oleinik. On the other hand, Hamilton has some electricity and Potts was set out by one shot on the ground against Soa Palelei. Either man could complete this fight quickly and that I would not be amazed, or they could play it safe and we can be treated to a truly awful heavyweight MMA. If the price for this bout to go over 1.5 rounds is large enough, I might just have a shot there in hopes the bout really is of the hilariously bad selection, but I can not see myself putting considerably more than Monopoly money down on this competition.
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