Basketball and betting have more in common than you might think. So as to succeed at pursuit, it helps to have a proven system. In the event of basketball, having a reliable offensive strategy which you can roll out every game irrespective of the matchup gives you a leg-up. Believe Mike D’Antoni’s free-flowing space-and-pace attack or Jerry Sloan’s nearly unbeatable pick-and-roll crime in the 1980s and 90s.
If it comes to gambling, you can gain the exact same type of benefit by having a closely defined set of rules which it is possible to use to every single game regardless of who is on the court.
Luckily, you don’t need to create your own betting strategy from scratch. There are already several recognized strategies which you can try on for size once you lay down wagers on your favourite teams, and there is no rule against pilfering from the playbooks of individuals who came before you. We have included a number of the most dependable systems and money-management approaches below, together with insights on how to use them. When coupled with an understanding of the sport, these systems might help turn even rookie betters to all-stars.
The Top Totals System
Few approaches are easier to learn and apply than the High Totals System made by Allen Moody, a sports-betting professional and also the author of Getting a Winning Gambler and Sports Betting Basics. Moody discovered that sportsbooks often underestimate game totals for NBA non-conference games, and began taking the over on all games with an over/under of 220 total points. It is a very simple approach, but it paid off as he was right 63.5percent of time for many games meeting that criteria from 2004-05 to 2008-09.
Those sorts of games were rarities a decade ago, but they’re becoming more common today as teams push the speed and drain more three-pointers. Back in 2004-05, NBA teams scored a mean of 97.2 points per match. That number jumped to 100.0 in 2008-09 and rose all the way to 105.6 in 2016-17. Sportsbooks have gotten savvy for this trend, but there’s still value to be found by taking the above in games with especially high total-point projections.
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